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Calculating EV of auto-profit spots - Poker Theory - General Poker.
Beginners and General Questions - Page 2 - Two Plus Two Publishing.
Global poker variance - Global Poker -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums.
How do you use min sample size for HUD stats? - Holdem Manager.
Sample size | General Poker Discussion - PokerS.
Poker coaching. Experiences? Recommendations? poker.
Running above EV - good or bad | General Poker Discussion.
Minimum sample size - Hand2Note -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums.
Good Poker Win Rate For Small Stakes (2022 Update) - BlackRain79.
7-Day Double Barrel Challenge (October 2015) - Red Chip Poker Forum.
Is Online Poker Rigged? 7 Poker Myths Busted | TournamentT.
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Poker Strategy - Two Plus Two Poker & Gaming Strategy.
100 BB / 100 hands on Ignition 5nl, small sample size but I know I'm.

Calculating EV of auto-profit spots - Poker Theory - General Poker.

Beginners and General Questions, Page 2... Is this sample size too small to mean anything?... Analyzing Global Poker Hands MrLemon. 06-05-2022 11:06 AM. by King Spew. 2. 262 Vleesjas. 3bet defense ranges 06-02-2022 01:53 PM by Vleesjas. 3. 3bet defense ranges.

Beginners and General Questions - Page 2 - Two Plus Two Publishing.

On a 100 000 hands sample, if your winrate is somewhere close to 5bb/100 hands, the standard deviation is more close to 80bb... so if we use classical confidence interval, on a given sample size n, and assuming that the winnings are normally distributed (more on this later), our "true" winrate (in bb/100 hands) lies - with 95% confidence -. At least 20k by position, the more the better, 50K should be a solid sample size (you need about 300k hands for that). Variance can have your results off quite a bit even on larger sample sizes. All your other stats seem solid so its just variance. You should be folding anything from 50-60% to 3bets. If its higher or lower then its probably a leak.

Global poker variance - Global Poker -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums.

Rising Star. Mar 9, 2022. #1. I'm playing spin and gold on gg poker and played 500 tournament of 0.25$ and made an 11% ROI before any rakeback and ITM=40%. I want to know if these Spin and gold. Even the strongest hand in poker loses 1 in 10 times. You will flop a set 11.7% of the time (1 in 8.5). On average you will be flipping (50-50) when all in pre-flop. Even though 500k hands is a large sample size, when you are breaking it down by 169 different hand combos, there will still be variance on a hand per hand basis.

How do you use min sample size for HUD stats? - Holdem Manager.

Hand reading in poker is the ability to guess somebody's hand or range of hands correctly in any given situation. Being able to read somebody's poker hand is immensely important because it basically allows you to play perfect against them by making the right bets, raises and folds. On the flip side,this player can also lose as many as 80 stacks despite his expected value being around 20 stacks lost over the 100,000-hand sample. So, when a live player plays 1,000 hands then hits the forums to brag about his "sick winrate", we should be able to see that such a sample size is non-representative. Blinds are 5 mins long. You start with a super stack (30K). Although numbers vary depending on the day, winning usually pays out around 10-12 buy-ins and is typically over in less than 2 hours. Ive had great success with them, but my sample size is only around 700 of these tournaments, so its still on the smaller end.

Sample size | General Poker Discussion - PokerS.

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You can never be 100% sure. What you can calculate is the probability that your true win rate is within a given range, based on your measured win rate, sample size, and standard deviation. To do this, you would take several 100 hand samples, measure average win rate, and standard deviation. Welcome to Two Plus Two, the world's largest poker strategy resource online and in print. Our online poker forums, are home to over 400,000 players. Two Plus Two publishes best selling poker books written by David Sklansky, Mason Malmuth, and Dan Harrington among others. How to Run Complete Analysis (Section 3) 1. Click on "Run Complete Analysis". 2. Choose your desired option (Analyze all your hands or by Stake Level) 3. Choose 6-max or Full-Ring. 4. Wait for the analysis to complete (This will take time depending on the size of your database).

Running above EV - good or bad | General Poker Discussion.

All Types Of Poker Hands. 1/31/2020. The front hand, or top hand, is made up of three cards and must be the lowest-ranking poker hand of the three. The middle hand is made up of five cards and must be a higher-ranking hand than the top hand. The bottom hand is also made up of five cards and must be the highest-ranking hand of the three. Now remember that the 95% confidence interval is within two SDs. Thus for 10k hands your true win rate is 500BB +/- 2*600BB, or per 100 hands 5BB +/- 12BB. Your true winrate is with 95% confidence between -7BB/100 and 17BB/100. See what I was talking about with the 10k sample size being laughable above What about 100k hands now ? Earnings are 5. As others have said, your sample size is too small. 2k hands is basically meaningless in poker to tell if you are winning or not. Play minimum 20k hands but more ideally 50-100k hands and then see.

Minimum sample size - Hand2Note -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums.

Of course, a win rate can often take from 25,000 to 100,000 hands (minimum) to get an accurate determination /result. As you progress through this sample size, it's crucial always to assess and re-assess this figure of yours. Then you can relate it to how many buy-ins you should have to, comfortably, stay at the stake you're playing. We can try to estimate it based on adequate sample size (200k is probably a reasonable minimum, but it will still give you results spanning about 4bb/100) and we should do that if poker is our main source of income, but we can't ever know for sure. Old 20-30 buy-in per limit bankroll management rule is extremely inflexible.

Good Poker Win Rate For Small Stakes (2022 Update) - BlackRain79.

In HM2 it was called something like minimum sample size or minimum opportunities.... By DonPablo in forum Share your HM2 HUD Configurations Replies: 1 Last Post:... Replies: 3 Last Post: 09-26-2012, 09:40 PM. minimum hands to show stats. By pkinet in forum Share your HUD configurations Replies: 1 Last Post: 05-11-2009, 08:35 PM. 2 I'm a bad friend My buddy reached out to me saying he wanted to play poker at a casino. I told him to come with me next time he went. He's never really played, outside of the $20 tournies we did at my house in high school. I work in the industry as well as play as a rec, so I made sure to explain etiquette to him as well.

7-Day Double Barrel Challenge (October 2015) - Red Chip Poker Forum.

Take a sample size of 50 hands. Let's say player A puts money in the pot for a raise or a call in 10 of those hands. Ten divided by 50 is 0.2, which is 20%. Player A's VPIP is 20%. Generally, these calculations include only pre-flop action. Some players calculate VPIP mentally in a live cash game or tournament.. One more question about the feature. Is # hands take from total number or number of instances? For example - Fold to 3bet. I want to show this stat after they have been 3bet 4 time. If I put 4 in the number of hands will this work?.

Is Online Poker Rigged? 7 Poker Myths Busted | TournamentT.

EV line doesn't consider hands like you: A A villain: K 2 flop: A 2 2 turn: 3 river: 2 Where most of the money went in before river, then you push the remaining money in on river. No effect on EV line as far as I know!. N would be the number of hands and the "variance of the sum" would be the sum of the variances of all the outcomes. For example the variance for a single fair coin flip is 0.25. If you want to know the variance of the sum of 10 coin flips you do 0.25 * 10 = 2.5 2.5 is the variance of the sum of 10 coin flips. The same goes for poker hands. Hello Admin , do you want to talk about hands sample size ? I have played 780.000 hands. Results HM3 AA 72% of the time , KK 74,5% QQ 67% JJ 54 %. the point is that 80% bis pots AA KK or AK losses, as I'm TAG player QQ JJ I don't' push 200BB pre flop , I'm on Pokerstars , 888 , party poker last 2 years GG pokers since 2009.

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The formula caculates your true winnings in $'s per hour within a 95% certainty) This formula caculates for multiple tables at once 1. Average profit per hour Now the formula (179) (1.96) + 49.59 = postive 400 per hour From what I can tell the 10k sample size was just taken from out of thin air because it looks like a nice big number. I already have one and I also have a sample size greater than 50 K hands. But it will be much more fun to do it the way I mentioned above! And it is also not only with this intuition, but with the.

Poker Strategy - Two Plus Two Poker & Gaming Strategy.

1) A legitimate study does not withhold the names of the people involved. Unless you post who the poker players, statisticians and industry experts are, this has no legitimacy. 2) 36k hands is a small sample. 3) lol at recording in boom replayer when it's so much easier with a hud. you must not know what you're doing. 06-22-2022 , 08:00 PM. Hand2note. Hand2Note Support Team. Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 950. All available options for adjusting samples you can find in Configuration -> Stats Appearance: 06-23-2022 , 04:44 AM.

100 BB / 100 hands on Ignition 5nl, small sample size but I know I'm.

1. 5% uncapped rake, (Its microstake so its almost never going to reach the max pot) 2. How many hands or how big of your sample size you need to determining your true win rate. Thx H. Popular Forums. News, Views, and Gossip Poker Blogs & Goals Online Poker Sites Casino & CardRoom Poker Las Vegas Lifestyle Beginners Questions. Poker News & Discussion. News, Views, and Gossip Poker Blogs & Goals Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance YouTube Podcasts & Twitch Streams General Poker Discussion. Sample size is really frustrating as a new player. You spend 20 hours 1-tabling, and then post your 2k hands to the forums. Everybody says "lol sample size". You come back a month later with 10k hands. Everybody says "lol sample size". Finally, after you start 2-tabling, you hit 25k hands. And yet people are still telling you to play more hands.